Last night, August 20, 2020, Joe Biden officially accepted the presidential nomination of the Democratic Party for the general election from his home in Delaware. He will face Republican Party presumptive nominee Donald Trump and Libertarian Party presidential nominee Jo Jorgensen on November 3, 2020. These are the three presidential candidates who will appear on the ballot in all 50 states.
The latest The Economist/YouGov poll of Biden supporters confirms prior polling that around 60 percent are voting to give Trump the boot rather than enthusiastically voting for Biden. According to the latest poll, only 41 percent of those expected to vote for Biden are voting for him, and 58 percent are voting against Trump. Conversely, the data flips for Trump supporters and this follows the trend in recent polling. 80 percent of those expected to vote for Trump in the general election are voting for him, and only 18 percent are voting against Biden.
As for who the 1,500 respondents in the poll thought would win the 2020 presidential election, it was a statistical tie at around 40 percent each and 21 percent who are unsure. The numbers are almost identical when respondents were asked who will control the U.S. Senate after the November 3, 2020 election. For the U.S. House, respondents felt the Democrats would keep control.
It is unfortunate The Economist/YouGov poll does not ask about the only other presidential candidate who will be on the ballot in all 50 states, Jo Jorgensen. To get a complete picture, mainstream media outlets and polling companies should talk about and include all the candidates who will be on the ballot in all 50 states or at least those who will have a mathematical chance to win the necessary 270 Electoral College votes to become president.
When asked about the method for which the likely respondent voters will vote, 39 percent plan to vote by mail, 38 percent will vote in person on election day, and 21 percent expect to vote early at an in person voting site. Two percent of respondents said they will not vote. When asked “How much confidence do you have that the U.S. Postal Service will deliver mailed-in ballots in time to be counted?” 60 percent of respondents were confident or moderately confident their mailed-in ballot will be counted. Meanwhile, 29 percent had a low level of confidence and 11 percent were not sure.
Asked about what issues are most important to them, the 1,500 respondents said healthcare and the economy are top of mind by a wide margin. Other issues didn’t break over 10 percent of importance from respondents. Climate change registered at 9 percent, civil rights at 8 percent, taxes and government spending at 7 percent, foreign policy and education at 6 percent, immigration and gun control at 5 percent, and criminal justice reform at 3 percent.