We have asked for decades during presidential election season, “Are you better off now than you were four years ago?” A new YouGov/The Economist poll which ended on July 28, 2020 tackled that and other questions of almost 1,500 Americans. The result was 42% felt they are better off now, while 36% were better off four years ago and 22% were not sure.
Surprisingly, 36% of all respondents said they were paying little to no attention to the 2020 presidential election, though when you distill down to registered voters the survey found 76% are paying attention. While 88% stated they felt voting for president is important, only 45% of Democrats and 31% of Republicans voted in their presidential primaries or caucuses.
If the election were held now, 49% would vote for Joe Biden, 40% for Donald Trump, and presumably 4% would go to Jo Jorgensen. I use the word “presumably” because the survey did not include her name, but used the word “other”, even though Jorgensen is the only other candidate expected to be on the ballot in all 50 states alongside Joe Biden and Donald Trump. 6% of respondents were unsure and 1% do not plan to vote.
Of the registered Democratic and independent voters in the survey, 56% and 73% respectively, said they are “mostly voting AGAINST Donald Trump,” while registered Republicans and independent voters, 15% and 27% respectively, said they are “mostly voting AGAINST Joe Biden.” So, while Joe Biden has the overall lead, it is not so much a vote “for” him, but a vote against Donald Trump. The question is, will some of that hate for Trump spill over to give Jorgensen more than the 4% support she is receiving now?
But with asking registered voters who they thought would win the 2020 presidential election, it is a toss up. 21% were unsure, and it was a statistical tie between Biden and Trump as they left Jorgensen out of the question (and the entire survey).
41% of registered voters felt the Democrats would wrestle control over the U.S. Senate in the upcoming November 2020 election, though 23% were unsure. Most registered voters who responded to the survey have no plans to watch either the Democratic or Republican party conventions coming up next month.